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India-Pakistan Relations: Why is there a race to build more Nuclear Weapons?


The first and last atomic bomb was dropped on Japan about 76 years ago today. and August 6, 1945, and August 9, 1945, are the two dates that endanger the very existence of the world from nuclear weapons.

On August 6, and August 9, the United States detonated atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, respectively. Hiroshima and Nagasaki continue to serve as examples of how the atomic bomb may be used to wipe out humanity. The residents of Hiroshima have yet to heal from the ravages of the nuclear strike, despite the fact that it has been 76 years.

Despite witnessing this catastrophe, the nine countries of the world still have more than 13,000 nuclear weapons, each of which is capable of wreaking havoc far more than the world at Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Seen 76 years ago.

 

The report states that China and Pakistan are far ahead of India in terms of nuclear weapons.

Following are some key points in the SIPRI (SPRI) previous year report:

  • At the beginning of 2021, the nine nuclear-weapon states (US, Russia, China, UK, France, Israel, Pakistan, India, and North Korea) had about 13,080 nuclear weapons, some less than that number. Spray estimated at the beginning of the year 2020.
  • Of these, 3,825 nuclear weapons are said to be ready for immediate action. Last year their number was 3720.
  • Of the 3,825 weapons, about 2,000 are from the United States and Russia and have been placed on high alert.
  • North Korea possesses 40-50 nuclear weapons, while Israel has over 90.
  • North Korea has built about ten new nuclear weapons compared to last year and currently has 40-50 nuclear weapons.
  • China has built 30 new nuclear weapons compared to last year and now has about 350 nuclear weapons.
  • Pakistan has built five new nuclear weapons compared to last year and now has about 165 nuclear weapons.
  • India built six new nuclear weapons last year and now has about 156 nuclear weapons.

 

Rahul Bedi, India's defense analyst, believes that it is not appropriate to call the increase in the number of nuclear weapons a "race or competition".

"We must recognize that nuclear weapons development is an ongoing process," he said. It is not possible for a country to suddenly stop developing nuclear weapons and resume them after a while. Once the weapons production stops, the whole process of building weapons will have to start again. So, in my opinion, it would not be appropriate to call it a competition.

Read also: India-China relations: Record trade of over 100 billion dollars between the two countries despite border tensions

Talk about India, Pakistan, and China, these are the three neighboring countries and all three have nuclear power. The situation in India, Pakistan, and China are very unique. There are very few nuclear-armed countries in the world whose border disputes exist almost all the time. Whether through firing or any other means. Pakistan and China are two countries where control of nuclear weapons is primarily in the hands of the military and the situation becomes even more dangerous for India.

 


Talking about the control of Pakistan's nuclear weapons, retired nuclear officer and former officer of Pakistan Strategic Plans Division (SPD) Brigadier Naeem Salik clarified that Pakistan's nuclear program is under the control of the National Command Authority. Which is the highest decision-making body on nuclear policy. The authority is headed by the prime minister and includes four federal ministers in addition to four military officers. One of the members is the chief of army staff, so there is no possibility of the military influencing nuclear decision-making.

On the other hand, talking about the defense and nuclear alliance between Pakistan and China, the defense analyst says that Pakistan and China have a deep military-strategic relationship that covers all areas of military and strategic importance according to known sources.

 

Excessive spending on nuclear weapons

It is also worth noting that while the world has been battling the deadly epidemic Covid-19 for the past two years, on the other hand, nuclear weapons are being relentlessly spent. The report states that in 2020, countries with nuclear capabilities spent 72 72.6 billion dollars on nuclear weapons alone, 1.4 billion dollars more than in 2019.

 

Nuclear weapons: are they for peace?

APJ Abdul Kalam, a scientist who has been instrumental in equipping India with nuclear capability and has been dubbed 'Missile Man of India', had said that nuclear weapons prevent other countries from attacking us and therefore they are 'weapons of peace'.

"Weapons of deterrence" is a term commonly used to describe nuclear weapons. "If we talk about India, Pakistan, and China, I don't think these countries will ever attack each other with nuclear weapons because all three have nuclear weapons," editor Sangeeta said. That is why, despite tensions on the border, the situation does not escalate to nuclear attacks, and that is why nuclear weapons are called weapons of deterrence.

 

Ghazala Wahab, the executive editor of the defense magazine Force, also agrees with Sangeeta. She stated, "I do not believe India would ever be able to wage a nuclear war with Pakistan or China." Nuclear weapons are not intended for use in combat. Countries like the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, and North Korea, on the other hand, are not part of the "do not use first" doctrine.

About the "no-first-use" policy, Brigadier Naeem Salik (r) said that Pakistan had made it clear that it would not take the initiative in using nuclear weapons. No, because it is designed to compete with India's superiority over conventional weapons. He stated, "We must keep in mind the developments in India's conventional weapons scenario." So when India introduced the Cold Start Doctrine, we had to add short-range missiles to our defense system. However, I must say that ambiguity adds to the value of deterrence.

Editor Parveen Sahni says the growing number of nuclear weapons is a cause for concern because Western countries have not pursued a "no-use" policy. At the same time, Parveen says there is no need to worry too much about which countries have how many nuclear weapons.

Read also: Then, at that point, what degree are Western stresses over China's developing military may have advocated?

In this regard, defense analysts said that when the Indian Parliament was attacked in 2002, India mobilized its troops and in response, Pakistan ordered its evil forces to be ready. The costs of this military operation were huge and costly for the Pakistani government. At the same time, a large part of the Pakistani evil army was engaged in eradicating militancy in the northwestern region on the western border. This situation forced Pakistan to include tactical nuclear weapons in its war plan.

 


So is there no threat to the world from the atomic bomb?

Even after declaring nuclear weapons as "weapons deterrence" and "weapons of peace", experts cannot completely rule out the dangers posed by nuclear bombs to the world.

Over time, the theory of deterrence has been challenged by experts. According to an article published in the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, an organization working on global security issues, the principle of deterrence regarding nuclear weapons has now become obsolete. Japanese leader and Hiroshima governor Heide Yakuo Yuzaki wrote an article entitled "A Message from Hiroshima on the Reality of Atomic Bombing." He writes that the ideology of deterrence dates back to the Cold War when the war of ideas was raging between the United States and the Soviet Union. According to Yuzaki: "The theory of nuclear deterrence is based on uncertain predictions. Given today's evolving technology and geographical and political conditions, it does not appear that the idea of ​​nuclear deterrence completely eliminates the possibility of a nuclear war in the future.

The report said that tensions between India and Pakistan had reached such a level after the Pulwama attack in February 2019 that there was no denying the possible use of nuclear weapons if there was a major "misunderstanding" between the two countries. According to the report's lead author and IISS Fellow Antonio Lewis, "India and Pakistan are constantly evolving in their technologies and capabilities. Because of this, the two countries are underestimating each other's nuclear defenses." China's increasing might as a nuclear-armed nation poses a security threat to India. China can definitely be a threat to India as its military and nuclear capabilities are far superior to India's. However, they are not more worried about this than Pakistan.


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