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Is the Government ready to meet the Challenges of 2022?

Who would want to remember this year, nothing went well. The powerless government continued to suffer from crises. Although the government has managed to keep itself afloat despite losing much of its political space in the face of adverse economic conditions, and even tougher time may come in the new year.

What the government relied on has already weakened. Of concern here are not only the difficulties of the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) but also the challenges facing the country in the years to come.

 

The new year for the PTI government will begin with the issue of an amended finance bill or a mini-budget, which will have to be passed by parliament in the face of growing differences among allies. The unpopular and highly controversial financial measures taken to meet the IMF's conditions will have a profound effect on the political landscape.

 

All this is happening at a time when the rifts in the government's own constituencies are widening. The shocking defeat in the recent local body elections in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa has clarified the differences. This electoral defeat has also encouraged the opposition, which seems united in blocking the fiscal bill.

This will undoubtedly be the biggest test for the government to prove its majority in Parliament. If the bill is not passed, the government's weaknesses will become more apparent. Even if the government manages to get the bill passed in parliament, the serious economic consequences of the tax-related measures will only increase public outrage, which is already on the rise due to inflation.

 

According to reports, the gap in the government's relations with the security establishment is widening, which has added to its woes. The so-called hybrid government is already reeling from the conflict between deteriorating governance and civilian-military leadership. Although the relationship between the two has not reached the point of breaking up, tensions remain. Controversy over the appointment of an ISI chief has soured relations.

This issue may have been resolved, but it has clarified the eternal imbalance of power within the system. The question is whether the security establishment will continue to interfere in the political arrangements to get the government out of trouble. It may force the government to fight its own political battles. Of course, this will be a big test for Prime Minister Imran Khan in 2022.

 

The second phase of local body elections in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and the most important phase of these elections in Punjab will also start early next year. However, the government is feeling trapped in a political maelstrom. While the PTI has been unable to improve its performance in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa due to internal differences, even more, disappointing results can be expected in the Punjab elections.

It is obvious to all that PTI has lost most of its ground in the country's largest and most powerful province due to its poor performance. But the prime minister has unwavering confidence in his elected chief minister. The reorganization of the party does not give much hope for a change in the situation. Moreover, rising inflation has further eroded the party's declining popularity. With the local body elections in Punjab just 18 months before the general elections, the party's confidence could be further shaken.

 

Internal differences and setbacks can further affect the already shrinking political arena. The results of the local body elections in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Punjab will be enough to map out the politics of the country in the coming year. Political instability and economic crisis are among the most serious problems facing the country, which faces many internal and external security threats.

 

Imran Khan's government has always looked weak in terms of foreign policy. Popular rhetoric is seen as an alternative to serious diplomacy. The Prime Minister's reluctance to visit the world's most important capitals for personal reasons has greatly affected our diplomatic access. Due to the extraordinary changes in geopolitics following the US withdrawal from Afghanistan and the return of the Taliban government to the war-torn country, the Pakistani government will have to face tremendous foreign policy and security challenges next year.

 

The threat of economic collapse looming over Afghanistan and the consequent worsening humanitarian crisis will have a direct impact on Pakistan. The biggest concern for us is security issues. Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) sanctuaries across the border on Afghan soil pose a security threat to Pakistan. It is worrying that the Afghan Taliban will not take action against the banned terrorist organization even after refusing to lay down its arms.

With the return of the conservative government in Afghanistan, it seems that the terrorist group operating from its strongholds across the border has found something. Attacks on Pakistani security forces have increased sharply in recent months. Uncertainty in Afghanistan could make matters worse in the coming year. But it is certain that the biggest challenge for the country will be the violent extremism based on religion.

 

In the last days of the year, the civilian and military leadership adopted a national security policy that, according to the government, would cover all aspects of internal and external security, including the situation in Afghanistan. Although the policy document has not been released publicly, it is said to have outlined "challenges and opportunities facing Pakistan next year". The government claims that the strategy "seeks to make economic security a key priority."

 

Of course, there is no doubt about the need for a collective approach to national security, and of course, national security depends on economic security. But the key issue is how this policy will be implemented. Creating economic freedom and the ability to meet our own needs requires a vision that we do not have, which is why our security is vulnerable.

 

In addition, as noted above, violent extremism remains the biggest threat to internal security. But the government's benevolent policy has contributed to the spread of extremism. Most importantly, the country will need political stability to ensure our security. It remains to be seen how the government will deal with these extraordinary challenges next year.

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